The survey of all three constituents of the ILS market was conducted more than six months after the major 2017 losses. Responses are therefore informed by the crystallization of ILS funds' performance1.
Cedants and funds share the view that ILS will continue to grow, partly through increased usage, and partly by covering risks outside property catastrophe, such as property per-risk, cyber, and marine. Investors and cedants alike continue to show appetite for such transactions.
James KENT, Global Chief Executive Officer, Willis Re commented: "The industry has widely reported the growth in the ILS market and this comprehensive survey further supports the development of ILS as an asset class despite the challenges of the catastrophe events in 2017. From a Willis Re perspective we see a divergence in the intent of (re)insurers to utilise ILS capacity largely driven by client type. For growth to continue, ILS investors will need to demonstrate the ability to innovate and provide optimal solutions to meet clients' evolving needs. Furthermore, the trust language, where used, will need to reflect a closer alignment with clients' expectations. The ILS investors with longstanding and successful track records, supported by consistent and well-regarded management teams, are the ones best equipped for future success."
End investors confirm they see reinsurance as an established asset class. The survey therefore is counter to some observations that rising asset yields would deter new capital inflows to ILS. The survey found:
- 58% of responding cedants use some ILS capacity, with one in four deriving more than 30% of their capacity from ILS.
- Over half of non-users would consider adopting ILS capacity over the next three years.
- Close to half of ILS buyers surveyed have recovered claims under their contracts. Almost all reported the collections as a positive experience.
- Over half would consider using ILS for non-property cat risks, either as part of a multiline cover or on a standalone basis. 13% have already done so.
- 2017 catastrophe losses have not deterred end investors. 80% agreed that 2017 ILS funds' performance was in line with expectations.
- End investors perceive diversification (96%) and non-correlation with financial asset classes as key drivers. Relative yield ranked only fourth.
- More than half of end investors have strategic allocations between 2% and 5% of total assets; two-thirds expect to maintain or increase their allocation.
- Post 2017 losses, almost half of end investors (48%) tactically increased their ILS allocation. Another 16% allocated capital to rebalance ILS to its long-term strategic weight.
- Only 20% of end investors made reductions; post-loss redemptions were few.
- ILS funds anticipate further growth over the next five years, with the vast majority expecting this to grow more than 10%.
- Only a third of ILS funds appoint independent third-party valuation agents for illiquid (Level 3) assets.